PMI index: Subdued demand hampers India’s production growth in September

According to news reports, a key economic indicator, IHS Markit India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index showed that the overall demand […]

   

According to news reports, a key economic indicator, IHS Markit India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index showed that the overall demand slowdown has subdued India’s manufacturing sector output in the month of September. The PMI Index showed an index reading of 51.4 in September 2019, which was unchanged from August and “thereby posting its joint-lowest reading since May 2018″. An index reading of above 50 indicates an overall increase in economic activity, or growth, and below 50, an overall decrease. The survey indicated subdued demand conditions domestically and externally, which led to limited production, lower inventories and reduced input buying. In fact, at the same time, business confidence reduced to one of the lowest levels seen in over two-and-a-half years. A principal economist has said on the latest survey that, “the gradual slowdown in manufacturing sector conditions continue in the second quarter of fiscal year 2019-20, with the PMI average for the quarter at its joint-lowest since the same period in 2017.” The economist further added “In September alone, forward-looking indicators such as business confidence and quantities of purchases were down, suggesting that companies are bracing themselves for difficult times ahead.” The economist also said that public policy stimulus could potentially help the sector gain growth momentum, such as another reduction in the benchmark interest rate in August and the recent announcement of cuts to corporate taxes. Also, in wake of the weak results for economic growth and muted inflationary pressures signalled by the PMI data, we expect to see further monetary easing in the months ahead.”  





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