India’s growth could slow down next year: Moody’s

Moody's projected India's growth rate to slow down to 8 per cent in 2022 and then to 5 per cent in 2023 on the back of inflation

Parul Parul     November 25, 2022

Global ratings agency Moody’s Analytics in a report titled “Asia Pacific (APAC) Outlook: A Coming Downshift”, which released on Thursday, has said that India is looking at a slower growth next year.

However, at the same time, it has noted that investments and productivity gains in technology and agriculture could push its growth.

“Risks to this outlook are largely balanced. On the upside, inward investment and productivity gains in technology, as well as in agriculture could accelerate growth,” the report said.

Moody’s projected India’s growth rate to slow down to 8 per cent in 2022 and then to 5 per cent in 2023.

The agency pertinently noted that if inflation in India continues to rise, then the RBI may continue with its repo rate hikes.

Also Read: Monetary policy can only hope to address future inflation, not today’s: RBI Deputy Governor

In such a scenario, India’s growth may be impacted, Moody’s noted further.

In the APAC region as a whole, the report noted that economic growth is slowing down.

The report added that despite growth being witnessed in India and other APAC nations, the expected slowdowns in Europe and North America as well as China may impact economic growth in 2023, which could be slower than 2022.

However, Moody’s ruled out any recession in the APAC region.