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Acuite Ratings and Research on Monday maintained India’s FY23 gross domestic product (GDP) growth estimate at 7 per cent. The creditrating agency, however, projected the country’s economic growth trajectory in FY24 to slow down to 6 per cent.
India would still be one of the highest growth economies in the world, it said. As per Acuite Ratings, the Indian economy has managed to withstand the headwinds rather well over past several months despite tough global environment.
“Domestic growth impulses have gained strength, as urban consumption continues to push demand for both goods and services with derivative support accruing from the government capex cycle which has got a further boost from the Union Budget 2023,” Acuite Ratings said.
Private investments remain somewhat confined, unsurprisingly in an environment of heightened global uncertainty although the higher credit growth reflects the start of a trickle, it said.
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The rating agency also said the breadth of domestic economic activity should continue to find support in a healthy rabi harvest and improved rural demand, the strength in services sector exports, pent-up demand in the travel and the tourism sector along with the Central government’s consistent focus on pushing capital expenditure.
“Nevertheless, growing risks to growth outlook emanate from the impending slowdown in global demand in 2023, with Dec-22 domestic export growth contraction of 12.2 per cent YoY – i.e., the steepest contraction in two years, serving as a harbinger of tougher times ahead,” Acuite Ratings said.
Further, the continuing rise in interest rates and a relatively tighter liquidity environment may have a lagged impact on demand, it added.
